Will history repeat itself?

If you look at the BTC chart on the weekly:

• December 2017 BTC peaked at $19700 and bear market ensued afterward
• December 2018 bear market had mostly ended and a slow recovery began
• June 2019 it had recovered to $13900 in a mini bull run.
• After that mini bull, there was a crash and mini bear market until around October 2020
• Followed by 2021 which most of us here experienced. 2021 peaked in November

SO... if history repeats itself we are currently in the start of the mini bull run which will culminate between Mar-May.

Personally I'm looking for a 2/3 recovery of the last peak, followed by another crash.

Obviously this is just speculation on whether the pattern repeats and nothing more. A lot of things are different this time so its impossible to know.