I once told a colleague new to Bitcoin:
Dont think.
Just buy a little bit with every paycheque.
A small amount he can afford.
And keep it on exchange until you have at least 0.01 btc then move it.
Play the long game.
In 4-8 years when you go to profit you will realize the profit was bitcoin all along.
He proceeded to buy $1000 worth at $65k, panicked in the bear and sold at $600.
Sometimes its better to keep your mouth shut.
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