 | I love spreadsheets, graphs, data and crypto. So I've collected all the data posted in the Moon distribution .CSV files, made some sense of it all in a spreadsheet, then made us some graphs. Total KarmaThe Sum of all the karma per round A 13% decrease since the last round. I've added the average BTC price for the 28 day Moon round to this graph as the total karma has seemed to move up and down in line with its price. I've done other analysis posts that show we get activity spikes when BTC fluctuates, with the most happening during dips as it seems that misery likes company. The spike at round 33 was probably from all the FTX bullshit and the 700 news link posts about it every hour. The ratio of Moons to karmaThe all important Moon to karma ratio. Multiply this number by your karma score to determine how many Moons you receive for each round. (Round 12 - 0.88 Never Forget) Round 36 spike was caused by the reintroduction of a shitload of burned Moons from the testnet bridge closing The ratio will naturally decline over time as the Moons released per round reduce by 2.5%. With 2 days of a closed subreddit and 3rd party apps getting fucked over a week before the end of round 41, then there's a very good chance we get a ratio over 1.0 next round. Number of users on .CSVThis shows the number of users who earned karma for each round. The lower orange line is users with an active vault at the time the .CSV was published. The number of users with vaults at the time of publishing the data overall averages around 60%. This doesn't indicate that only 60% of the users claim their Moons though as you have 6 months from the distribution to open your vault and claim them. % of users with a vaultThe spike from round 28 to 29 was caused by the implementation of CCIP 031 which removed vaultless users with less than 10 karma from the .csv Average Moons per user & Median Moons per userThe increase in average and median from round 28 to 29 was also caused by the implementation of CCIP 031. The average Moons earnt per user takes into account a lot of factors: number of users, Moon to karma ratio and the reduction in Moons being released per round. Moons Market Cap RankThe recent drop was from a non vault address selling 445k Moons in one transaction on Sushiswap. They prolly lost like 30% to slippage. REKT Enough graphs, show me the spreadsheet(The dates are a day ahead than most of you as I live in the future in UTC+13) I asked the admins to check what dafuq was up with not many Moons being reintroduced. Then I figured out it was probably because the address that burns on behalf of membership buyers paying in $$ ran out of Moons. Apparently they have an alert on the address which failed. So they topped it up with 500k Moons. That will last like 6 months max lol. Previous rounds are here: I've been posting these since Round 14 - You can find them here if you're bothered. TL;DR Karma goes down, ratio goes up, 1 Moon = 1 Moon, I fucking love spreadsheets. [link] [comments] |
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