Looking for help on price predictions based off of crypto winter lows

Does anyone know of any TA done on the crypto winter low prices Bitcoin has hit to find a pattern there? I find TA interesting, but I no longer put much stock into it like I did when I first got into crypto and Bitcoin. However, most people do price predictions and analysis based on the ATHs, not the bottoms.

Example: A cursory look at the current low and how miners say they can afford 13k BTC applied to the block reward of 6.25 compared to the 2032 reward of just over .75 BTC means that we could extrapolate a 125k price per Bitcoin as a bottom price in the 2032-2036 cycle. But, that is really just making up numbers since who knows what electricity, mining rigs, the mining market, etc... will be in 10 years. I'd like something a little more thought-out.

So I'm wondering if anyone knows of any more concrete look into this or if there are any videos or sites that have tried to find any patterns for price based on the lows of Bitcoin. Thank you!