Days from Bitcoin halving to subsequent market peak:
2016 halving → peak: 525 days
(9 July 2016 → 16 December 2017)
2020 halving → peak: 548 days
(11 May 2020 → 10 November 2021)
2024 halving → peak: 535 days
(19 April 2024 → 6 October 2025, ~$126K)
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Days from peak to bottom
2017 cycle:
364 days after peaking at $20K on 16 December 2017, Bitcoin reached its cycle low before recovering — $3,236 on 15 December 2018.
2021 cycle:
376 days after peaking at $69K on 10 November 2021, Bitcoin reached its cycle low before recovering — $15,787 on 21 November 2022.
Implication:
If it follows previous ones, cycle low would ~ mid October 2026
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