 | EXPERIMENT - Tracking 2019 Top Ten Cryptocurrencies – Month Thirty-Four - UP +658% The full blog post with all the tables is here. Welcome! This is the monthly report for my homemade 2019 Top Ten Crypto Index Fund. This group contains BTC, XRP, ETH, BCH, EOS, XLM, USDT, LTC, BSV, and Tron. tl;dr:
Month Thirty-Four – UP 658%The 2019 Top Ten Crypto Index Fund consists of: BTC, XRP, ETH, BCH, EOS, Stellar, USDT, Litecoin, BSV, and Tron. October highlights for the 2019 Top Ten Crypto Portfolio:
October Ranking and Dropout ReportHere’s the difference in rank since January 2018: Top Ten dropouts since January 2019: After thirty-four months, 60% of the cryptos that started in the Top Ten in January 2019 have been knocked out. EOS, Litecoin, BSV, Stellar, Bitcoin Cash, and Tron have been replaced by Binance Coin, Cardano, DOT, SOL, Doge, and SHIB. BSV has fallen the furthest so far (#56) – it is the only crypto that has dropped out of the Top Fifty. October Winners and LosersOctober Winners – ETH, up +32%, followed by BTC +28%. October Losers – Beside USDT, XRP (+7%) was the worst performing crypto of the 2019 group. Tally of Monthly Winners and LosersWhich crypto holds the most wins or losses over the life of the project? Here’s a snapshot of the winners and losers over the first thirty-four months of the 2019 Top Ten Experiment: By a large margin, Tether has the greatest number of monthly victories (10) followed by BTC and ETH with five. Every crypto has won at least one month since January 2019 and BSV and USDT have the most losses, 11 out of 34 months. Overall Update – ETH alone in first place, all cryptos in positive territory, BSV and EOS worst performingETH (+3,077%) is easily the best performer of this group, doubling up the ROI of second place BTC (+1,531%) over the same period of time. The $100 investment into first place ETH on January 1st, 2019 is currently worth $3,260. After thirty-four months, 100% of the cryptos in the 2019 Top Ten Portfolio are in positive territory. Not counting stablecoin Tether, the worst performing crypto is BSV and EOS, still up +75% and +79% respectively. Total Market Cap for the Entire Cryptocurrency Sector:The total crypto market gained over a half a trillion USD in October and is now at an all time monthly closing high of $2.6T The entire cryptocurrency sector is up +1990% since January 2019. This is still well behind first place ETH (3,077%) but much better than the rest of the Top Ten cryptos, including second place Bitcoin (+1531%). And the total market is performing much better than the Top Ten approach (+1990%). Translation: unless you went all in on ETH thirty-four months ago, you were better off diversifying. And the Top Ten approach has beaten every individual crypto except BTC and ETH. Crypto Market Cap Low Point in the 2019 Top Ten Crypto Index Experiment: $114B in January 2019. Crypto Market Cap High Point in the 2019 Top Ten Crypto Index Experiment: $2.6T this month. Bitcoin Dominance:BitDom inched up in October, ending the month at 43.7% (compared to 43.2% in September). This is the low end of the range when looking at the timeframe as a whole. For context, here are the high and low points of BTC domination over the life of the 2019 Experiment: Low Point in the 2019 Top Ten Crypto Index Experiment: 41.9% in May 2021. High Point in the 2019 Top Ten Crypto Index Experiment: 70.5% in August 2019. Overall return on $1,000 investment since January 1st, 2019:The 2019 Top Ten Crypto Portfolio gained $1,482 in October. Nuts when you consider the initial investment was only $1,000! After thirty-four months the value of the initial $1000 investment is $7,580, up +658%. This is an ALL TIME HIGH for the 2019 Top Ten Crypto Portfolio. Below is a table summarizing the monthly ROI over the life of the 2019 Top Ten Index Fund experiments, providing a pretty good sense of the journey up to this point: Fairly steady upward movements punctuated by massive dips. During the Zombie Apocalypse in March 2020, for example, the 2019 Top Ten Portfolio was returning only +6%. Although the 2019 Top Ten Portfolio is up an impressive +658%, it is still a distant second place behind the 2020 Top Ten Portfolio which is up +937%. Combining the 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021 Top Ten Crypto PortfoliosSpeaking of other Top Ten Portfolios, let’s put them all together now:
So overall? Taking the four portfolios together, here’s the bottom bottom bottom bottom line: After a $4,000 investment in the 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021 Top Ten Cryptocurrencies, the combined portfolios are worth $24,656 ($1,719 + $7,580 + $10,370 + $4,987). That’s up +514% on the combined portfolios, an all time high for the Top Ten Index Fund Experiment. Below is a table to help visualize the progress of the Experiment as a whole: In summary: That’s a +514% gain by investing $1k on whichever cryptos happened to be in the Top Ten on January 1st (including stablecoins) for four straight years. Comparison to S&P 500:I’m also tracking the S&P 500 as part of the experiments to have a comparison point with traditional markets. Because the S&P 500 Index is up 84% since January 2019, the initial $1k investment I put into crypto thirty-four months ago would be worth $1,840 had it been redirected to the S&P 500 in January 2019. But what if I took the same world’s-slowest-dollar-cost-averaging $1,000-per-year-on-January-1st-Crypto-Index-Fund-Experiment approach with the S&P 500? It would yield the following:
Taken together, here’s the bottom bottom bottom bottom line for a similar approach with the S&P: After four $1,000 investments into an S&P 500 index fund in January 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021, my portfolio would be worth $6,230 ($1,730 + $1,840 + $1,430 + $1,230) That is up +56% since January 2018 compared to a +514% gain of the combined Top Ten Crypto Experiment Portfolios, a difference of over nearly 458 percentage points in favor of crypto. Here’s a table providing an overview of the four year ROI comparison between a Top Ten Crypto approach and the S&P: Conclusion:To both old-timers and newcomers: thanks so much for taking the time to read and for supporting the Top Ten Crypto Index Fund Experiments. I hope you find the updates helpful in terms of perspective as you navigate the crypto landscape. Be careful out there and don’t put your mental, physical, or financial health at risk chasing gainz. If crypto is causing you to lose sleep at night, chances are you have too much in crypto: try to think long term and don’t invest what you can’t afford to lose. Feel free to reach out with any questions and stay tuned for progress reports. Keep an eye out for my parallel projects tracking the Top Ten cryptos as of January 1st, 2018 (the OG experiment), January 1st, 2020, and most recently, January 1st, 2021. [link] [comments] |
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