5 Bitcoin to retire in 2025?

I was discussing today with a few fellow bitcoiners about the 2024/2025 possible halving outcome, and the purchasing power of bitcoin enough to retire (lean fire, nothing to fancy, just stop working and replace income with bitcoin selling each month) at 35/40.

We calculated an aproximate of 2M needed to retire living a frugal life. Giving we are pretty young, but we would ONLY sell the needed sats to survive each month, the remaining stash would appreciate over time.

Some said 3 would be enough, others said 5, others said 8-10, and the most pessimistic one said 50 btc.

I said 8. I think 250k is a real possibility, so 8 would give the 2M usd needed.

I wanted to add a few more opinions about this. Given this conditions, how many you think would be enough to reach 2M in 2024/2025?

Edit: as a Maxi, I hate still thinking in USD conversions and value, but reality hits hard here and we will still need to think in USD value for the next couple of years at least.