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$1k invested into the Top Ten Cryptos in January 2021 - Month 33 (UP +59%)

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$1k invested into the Top Ten Cryptos in January 2021 - Month 33 (UP +59%)

EXPERIMENT - Tracking 2021 Top Ten Cryptocurrencies – Month Thirty-Three – UP 59%

Full blog post with all the tables here.

January 1st, 2021, I bought $100 of following and turned it into a homemade crypto index fund: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Tether, XRP, Litecoin, Polkadot, Bitcoin Cash, Cardano, Binance Coin, and Chainlink. Below is the latest update on the progress of the 2021 Experiment.

tl;dr:

  • What's this all about? Back in January 2018, I made a homemade crypto Index Fund, purchasing $100 of each of the Top 10. Crypto winter started immediately after, but I haven't sold or traded and have been reporting monthly ever since. I repeated the Experiment 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, and again in 2023 because I'm a glutton for punishment (and to show different entry points).
  • Learn more about the history and rules of the Experiments (including why in the world I would include Tether) here.
  • SEPTEMER HIGHLIGHTS: nearly an all green month led by a very strong performance by LINK (+35%) Overall, BNB well in first place, followed distantly by ETH. 2021 Top Ten Portfolio +59% vs S&P's +14% over the same time period.
  • 2018+2019+2020+2021+2022+2023 Combined Top Ten Portfolios are returning +80% compared to +30% in the S&P 500 if invested as per the rules of the Experiments.

Month Thirty-Three – UP 59%

https://preview.redd.it/1y327d9q4cxb1.png?972&format=png&auto=webp&s=74a8b2bb93db82b09cfb6ed4dea9c0523dc30fbb

The 2021 Top Ten Crypto Index Fund consists of: BTC, ETH, USDT, XRP, Litecoin, DOT, BCH, ADA, BNB, and LINK.

September highlights for the 2021 Top Ten Portfolio:

  • Almost an all green month, led by a very strong performance by LINK (+35%)
  • BNB continues to maintain a strong overall lead, followed distantly by ETH.
  • 2021 Top Ten Portfolio is up +59% in thirty-three months

September Ranking and Dropout Report

https://preview.redd.it/ilfcbkar4cxb1.png?333&format=png&auto=webp&s=3900a2660726b9d8f6ed0292c4a77b2f907b23e9

Top Ten dropouts since January 2021: thirty-three months into the 2021 Top Ten Experiment, four cryptos have dropped out: Chainlink, Litecoin, Polkadot and Bitcoin Cash. They have been replaced by Tron, SOL, DOGE, and USDC.

September Winners and Losers

September WinnersLINK was the clear winner this month, up +35%.

September LosersDOT turned in the worst performance in September (-2%).

Overall Update – BNB dominates, ETH in second place, 50% of cryptos in green, DOT worst performing

As has been the case for most of the 2021 Top Ten Experiment, BNB remains the dominant crypto in the portfolio, by far. It is up +460%, the $100 investment into BNB thirty-three months ago is now worth $562. ETH is in distant second place, up +128%. BTC hasn’t broken even yet (-8%).

At the bottom, DOT is the worst performing of the 2021 Top Ten Portfolio cryptos at this point in the Experiment, down -52% since January 2021.

Bitcoin Dominance:

https://preview.redd.it/n9emcins4cxb1.png?1076&format=png&auto=webp&s=5fb52a82214d177da77c823977b603089d0b4bb3

BitDom has bounced a bit since the beginning of the year, now sitting at 48.8%.

Overall return on $1,000 investment since January 1st, 2021:

https://preview.redd.it/ndv9rdyt4cxb1.png?301&format=png&auto=webp&s=5de3fef43e2d5e2c8389129d3885509d26b48cb0

Overall, the 2021 Top Ten Portfolio is up +59%. The initial $1000 investment thirty-three months ago, on New Year’s Day, 2021, is worth $1,586.

Here’s the month by month ROI of the 2021 Top Ten Experiment, to give you a sense of perspective as we go along:

https://preview.redd.it/zenixszu4cxb1.png?556&format=png&auto=webp&s=04e002a9d4c1e78a829fa5745bd472d089174a02

Combining the 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, and 2023 Top Ten Crypto Portfolios

As most readers are aware, this is the sixth year of an Experiment I started back in January of 2018, at the height of the last crypto bull run. Where do we stand if we combine six years of the Top Ten Crypto Index Fund Experiments?

  • 2018 Top Ten Experiment: down -41% (total value $589)
  • 2019 Top Ten Experiment: up +225% (total value $3,245)
  • 2020 Top Ten Experiment: up +300% (total value $3,999) (best performing portfolio)
  • 2021 Top Ten Experiment: up +59% (total value $1,586)
  • 2022 Top Ten Experiment: down -73% (total value $265) (worst performing portfolio)
  • 2023 Top Ten Experiment: up +12% (total value $1,116)

Taking the six portfolios together, here’s the bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom line:

After a $6,000 total investment in the 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, and 2023 Top Ten Cryptocurrencies, the combined portfolios are worth $10,800.

That’s up +80% on the combined portfolios. The peak for the combined Top Ten Index Fund Experiment Portfolios was November 2021’s all time high of +533%.

To visualize the progress of the combined portfolios:

https://preview.redd.it/i7nqam8w4cxb1.png?1198&format=png&auto=webp&s=ca46603e9eb27285001869e60e01204fe9671e62

In summary: That’s a +80% gain by investing $1k on whichever cryptos happened to be in the Top Ten on January 1st (including stablecoins) for six straight years.

Comparison to S&P 500

I’m also tracking the S&P 500 as part of my experiment to have a comparison point to traditional markets.

https://preview.redd.it/9c7outcx4cxb1.png?1216&format=png&auto=webp&s=ef87da41b4d57ce18e3d490d99d657f466a00668

The S&P 500 Index is up +14% since January 1st, 2021. The initial $1k investment I put into crypto thirty-three months ago would be worth $1,140 had it been redirected to the S&P 500.

The 2021 Top Ten Crypto Portfolio is up +59% over the same time period – the initial $1k investment in crypto thirty-three months ago is now worth $1,586.

That’s a difference of $446 on a $1k investment in thirty-three months.

What about in the longer term? What if I invested in the S&P 500 the same way I did during the first six years of the Top Top Crypto Index Fund Experiments? What I like to call the world’s slowest dollar cost averaging method? Here are the figures:

  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2018 = $1,600 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2019 = $1,710 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2020 = $1,330 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2021 = $1,140 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2022 = $900 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2023 = $1,120 today

Taken together, here’s the bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom bottom line for a similar approach with the S&P:

After six $1,000 investments into an S&P 500 index fund in January 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, and 2023 my portfolio would be worth $7,800.

That is up +30% since January 2018 compared to a +80% gain of the combined Top Ten Crypto Experiment Portfolios.

To help provide perspective, here’s a chart showing the combined six year ROI for the Crypto Top Ten Experiment vs. the S&P up to this point:

https://preview.redd.it/obb7c7fy4cxb1.png?1256&format=png&auto=webp&s=6cfbc31cbd7dcd62380acb98382de419b0bfa0f3

Conclusion:

To the long time followers of the Top Ten Experiments, thank you so much for sticking around so long. For those just getting into crypto, I hope these reports will help prepare you for the highs and lows that await on your crypto adventures. Buckle up, go with the flow, think long term, don’t invest what you can’t afford to lose, and most importantly, try to enjoy the ride.

Feel free to reach out with any questions and stay tuned for progress reports. A reporting note: I’ll focus on 2023 Top Ten Portfolio reports + one other portfolio on a rotating basis this year, so expect two reports per month. September’s extended report is the one you’re reading now (the 2021 Top Ten Portfolio). You can check out the latest 2018 Top Ten (the OG Experiment), 2019 Top Ten, 2020 Top Ten, and 2022 Top Ten reports as well.

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